The post Esports betting tips & odds – Thursday, November 5 appeared first on Esport Bet.
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FORZE vs VIRTUS.PRO CS:GO BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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CS:GO Betting Odds: | forZe +191 at BetOnline | VP -270.27 at BetOnline |
When: | November 5, 2020 at 13:50 MSK |
Watch Live: | Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/uccleague2) |
?Virtus.pro and forZe will lock horns on Thursday in the last quarter-final bout of LOOT.BET/CS Season 8. It will mark their second meeting since Intel Extreme Masters XV New York Online: CIS, where VP reverse-swept forZe with 16-10 on Dust II and 16-12 on Train.
Since that clash, forZe have lost six out of 11 games played, while VP have won all but one of seven outings. That run includes a 2-0 triumph against Natus Vincere and 3-0 against Nemiga.
Although VP are the most likely victors, we expect forZe to put up enough of a fight to make the series close. All of the last four meetings between these two sides ended in three maps, and we expect the same to happen here.
FALKN vs LILMIX CS:GO BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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CS:GO Betting Odds: | FALKN +379 at BetOnline | Lilmix -769.23 at BetOnline |
When: | November 5, 2020 at 21:00 EET |
Watch Live: | Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/elitseriencsgo) |
?FALKN impressed with their 19-16 win over High Coast Esports last week, but they quickly returned to their old ways with an 8-16 loss to fightclub two days later.
Lilmix, meanwhile, had to skip their last two Svenska Elitserien matches against flowskola and GoBananas since they had to attend Nine to Five #5. There, they produced a mixed bag of results with 2-1 wins over PACT and x6tence and 0-2 losses against Virtus.pro, Copenhagen Flames and Galaxy Racer.
Despite their lack of success at Nine to Five #5, Lilmix deserve some slack since they had to face much tougher opponents than what they’re about to play against at the Svenska Elitserien. Still, they tend to drop points even against weaker sides, which is why we will trust FALKN to win at least nine rounds.
CHIEFS ESPORTS CLUB vs AVANT GAMING CS:GO BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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CS:GO Betting Odds: | Chiefs -227.27 at BetOnline | AVANT +159 at BetOnline |
When: | November 5, 2020 at 19:00 AEDT |
Watch Live: | Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/lpl_csgo) |
?Chiefs Esports Club enter the LPL Pro League 2020 Season 3 grand finals as heavy favourites over Avant Gaming, which we don’t quite agree with. Although Chiefs have a map advantage, that rarely guarantees success for the upper bracket team – especially in a regional derby.
Avant have met with Chiefs three times since August and won two series with a combined 6-1 map differential, which clearly shows they should not be priced as high as they are. A smaller bet on the underdogs to win 3-1 can also be considered.
QUINCY CREW vs THUNDER PREDATOR DOTA 2 BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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Dota 2 Betting Odds: | QC -714.29 at BetOnline | TP +414 at BetOnline |
When: | November 5, 2020 at 13:00 PST |
Watch Live: | Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/beyondthesummit) |
?Quincy Crew ended their run through the group stage with a near-perfect 8-1-0 record and 17-1 map differential. Thunder Predator saw far less success, although they still ended in the top four with a 3-4-2 record and 10-8 map differential.
Quincy Crew have met with Thunder Predator nine times in 2020 and won all but one fixture, including all of the last four with a 9-1 map differential. Even though TP looked slightly better in the final rounds of the group stage with wins over 4 Zoomers and Infamous, QC seem to be on a whole other level than the rest of the field and should win this with ease.
OMEGA GAMING vs TEAM BRASIL DOTA 2 BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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Dota 2 Betting Odds: | Omega +101 at BetOnline | Brasil -136.99 at BetOnline |
When: | November 5, 2020 at 18:20 BRT |
Watch Live: | YouTube |
?Team Brasil (2-1-1) enter the penultimate round of the Movistar Liga Pro Gaming Season 6 group stage in dire need of wins to secure a spot in the playoffs. On the other hand, Omega Gaming (2-3-0) are in a very comfortable position and only need to win one more to lock in their ticket for the semi-finals.
Even though Team Brasil sit two spots behind Omega Gaming on the standings, it’s hard to separate the teams based on performance. Brasil are 0-5-5 in their last 10, compared to Omega’s 5-4-1 record (albeit against weaker opponents).
This match seems like it can go either way, so it makes more sense to side with Omega given they have actually won a few games across the last week.
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GODSENT vs ESPADA CS:GO BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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CS:GO Betting Odds: | GOD -476.19 at BetOnline | ESPADA +300 at BetOnline |
When: | November 4, 2020 at 11:50 CET |
Watch Live: | Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/uccleague2) |
?GODSENT and ESPADA will clash for the first time since September, when GODSENT defeated ESPADA 2-1 during Nine to Five #4. There have been no changes in either team since then, so it would be fair to assume a similar result is on the cards.
All esports bookmakers have GODSENT priced as massive favourites on the back of some impressive wins last month. Those include triumphs against FaZe Clan (2-1), G2 Esports (2-0) and the no.1 team in the world, Heroic (2-0).
Even though ESPADA are a solid tier-two team, GODSENT are playing at a much higher level and should have no issues securing a clean 2-0 victory.
IO DOTA2 vs GALAXY RACER DOTA 2 BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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Dota 2 Betting Odds: | IO -105.26 at BetOnline | GXR -128.21 at BetOnline |
When: | November 4, 2020 at 19:00 MYT |
Watch Live: | YouTube |
?Galaxy Racer are still without a single win (0-0-3) this tournament. However, that does not mean they’re the worst-performing team in the competition, since they only lost against For The Dream and forfeited the remaining two games due to network issues.
IO Dota2 have played only one game so far this tournament, drawing with Team MagMa. Although a fairly solid result, we are a bit concerned with IO Dota2’s lack of playtime, seeing how they have played only two official matches in the last two weeks.
Galaxy Racer and IO last met just over two weeks ago, playing out a stalemate. GRX have since drawn with BOOM Esports and defeated both Team Adroit and Motivade.Trust Gaming, which is enough for us to believe they can triumph over the ring rusty IO Dota2.
MATADOR vs DEMONSTER DOTA 2 BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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Dota 2 Betting Odds: | Matador +121 at BetOnline | DM -166.67 at BetOnline |
When: | November 4, 2020 at 17:00 CST |
Watch Live: | YouTube |
?DeMonster have had their occasional flashes of greatness, but their last 10 games (3-7) were rather lacklustre. They enter this bout on a five-game losing streak that includes losses to Ink Ice, Forest and three against LBZS.
Matador were far from perfect in their last 10 outings, but it’s hard to be overly critical of their 4-2-4 record. That run includes wins against CDEC, IO Dota2, BOOM Esports and team black.
Matador looked like the stronger team the last time they met with DeMonster and have form on their side for this bout. The value is obviously with the outsiders.
GRESHJERNA vs TIKITAKAN CS:GO BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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CS:GO Betting Odds: | ghjerna -108.7 at BetOnline | Tiki -131.58 at BetOnline |
When: | November 4, 2020 at 20:00 EET |
Watch Live: | Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/elitseriencsgo) |
?Greshjerna have yet to find any traction at Svenska Elitserien 2020 Fall and enter week 10 with a 5-13 record. However, they deserve some praise for their 16-13 win over Lemondogs, 16-2 against FALKN and a solid 13-16 effort against the current frontrunners, fightclub.
Despite their catastrophic 1-16 record, Tikitaka head into this bout priced as the favourites, which makes no sense. Although they field Alex “PALM1” Palm, the rest of the team is just not cutting it. Until we see some progress, any bet against Tikitakan is a good bet in our book.
FLOWSKOLA vs GOBANANAS CS:GO BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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CS:GO Betting Odds: | fskola -238.1 at BetOnline | Bananas +160 at BetOnline |
When: | November 4, 2020 at 21:00 EET |
Watch Live: | Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/elitseriencsgo) |
?Flowskola enter week 10 of Svenska Elitserien 2020 Fall with a decent 12-5 record, but they have not looked too sharp of late. Not only did Flowskola suffer a 13-16 defeat against vinkelparty last week, but they also struggled against Tikitakan (16-14) and severely underperformed against Lemondogs (9-16) in the weeks prior.
GoBananas are 7-10 so far this tournament. While they have shown some progress, they’re still prone to dropping rounds in their games. Nevertheless, GoBananas have reached at least double digits in three out of their last five fixtures – excluding games against fightclub and High Coast Esports – which is enough for us to believe they can force the inconsistent flowskola to 27 rounds.
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ADROIT ESPORTS vs CIGNAL ULTRA DOTA 2 BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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DOTA 2 Betting Odds: | Adroit Esports -140.85 at BetOnline | Cignal Ultra +104 at BetOnline |
When: | November 3, 2020 at 12:00 PHST |
Watch Live: | Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/beyondthesummit) |
Cignal Ultra (1-5-1) have not impressed this tournament, however, the same can be said for Team Adroit (2-3-1), who won only against TEAM STAR and Army Geniuses. On a more positive note, Adroit forced stalemates against Among Us, 496 Gaming and Neon Esports, which is comparable to Cignal Ultra’s draws with Among Us and BOOM Esports.
We don’t expect any outstanding performances from Cignal Ultra, but since they managed a stalemate against the BTS Pro Series Season 3: Southeast Asia and ESL One Thailand 2020: Asia runners-up (BOOM Esports), they clearly have the quality to make something happen.
CIGNAL ULTRA vs MOTIVATE.TRUST GAMING DOTA 2 BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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DOTA 2 Betting Odds: | Cignal Ultra +271 at BetOnline | Motivate Trust Gaming -416.67 at BetOnline |
When: | November 3, 2020 at 14:00 PHST |
Watch Live: | Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/beyondthesummit) |
In six games played Motivate.Trust Gaming (4-1-1) lost only to TNC Predator but claimed a big scalp on Saturday when they defeated Among Us. MG.Trust were at the time priced at $4.77, which helped us to earn +1.54 units of profit from our esports predictions for Saturday.
MG.Trust won all of their four meetings with Cignal with an 8-1 game differential, which includes a 2-0 sweep at the start of October. On top of the stronger head-to-head record, MG.Trust are also in much better form, but at $1.24 it’s better to explore the first blood market.
Across the lasts six games, MG.Trust achieved a 50% first blood rate (3-3) while Cignal put together a 66.67% FB rate (4-2), albeit against weaker teams. What’s more, Cignal gave up first blood in all of their series except in their last two and the first game against Neon Esports.
ARMY GENIUSES vs SPAG AND SONS DOTA 2 BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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DOTA 2 Betting Odds: | Army Geniuses -181.82 at BetOnline | Spag and Sons +125 at BetOnline |
When: | November 3, 2020 at 19:30 AEDT |
Watch Live: | Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/lpl_dota) |
Both teams have shown similar form this tournament and while Army Geniuses hold a slightly better record (4-2-0) than Spag and Sons (3-3-0), the Australian side only really underperformed in the opening stages of the tournament. They have since won two in a row (+ a forfeit win).
Army Geniuses should be slightly favoured largely because they forced TNC Predator to a stalemate last week, but at $1.55 they’re overrated. Spag and Sons have shown solid form as of late and at $2.25 they’re worth a shot.
SHADOWNET vs CAMBOPRIDE DOTA 2 BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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DOTA 2 Betting Odds: | Shadownet -476.19 at BetOnline | CamboPride +243 at BetOnline |
When: | November 3, 2020 at 21:30 AEDT |
Watch Live: | Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/lpl_dota) |
After six weeks of play, Shadownet hold a 2-1-3 record, which is only slightly better than CamboPride’s 1-1-4, yet the esports bookmakers have Shadownet priced as $1.21 favourites over the Cambodian squad. That does not seem fair, considering Shadownet picked up a forfeit win against Mirana Battlefury, whereas Cambo Pride had to defeat the said squad during the first week of the competition.
Cambo Pride did not look too sharp and will likely be in for an uphill battle this Tuesday. Having said that, these low-tier Dota2 games are often a complete coin-toss, so putting a few bucks on the outsiders at $3.43 is not a terrible bet.
LILMIX vs SONS OF LENNART CS:GO BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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CS:GO Betting Odds: | LILMIX -588.24 at BetOnline | SoL +322 at BetOnline |
When: | November 3, 2020 at 22:00 EET |
Watch Live: | Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/elitseriencsgo) |
Sons of Lennart are entering this match with a 5-13 record and -53 round differential (168-221), which does not inspire much confidence. To make matters even worse, two of SoL’s wins came after their opponents forfeited their match, meaning they have only defeated three teams in the span of 18 games (16.7% win rate).
Lilmix did not look as sharp as they perhaps should considering their quality, but they are still 11-3 with +79 (215-136) round differential. Lilmix also kept their opponents at eight or fewer rounds in four out of of their last six Svenska Elitserien bouts, and have last week defeated PACT and x6tence who are both significantly stronger than SoL.
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