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CURE vs STATS SCII BETTING & MATCH DETAIL |
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Best Odds: | Cure +125 at BetOnline | Stats -175.44 at BetOnline |
When: | October 12, 2023 |18:30 KST |
Watch Live: | YouTube, AfreecaTV |
Kim “Cure” Doh-wook and Kim “Stats” Dae-yeob have met 32 times since 2015, each winning 15 series and 39 maps. However, while their all-time head-to-head record is 50-50, Cure holds a perfect 6-0 record (12-0 in maps) against the 31-year-old veteran this year.
The strong head-to-head record explains why Cure is heavily favoured for this match, but we must also consider that Cure is in excellent form. He holds a 62.66% win rate across the last 233 games and is 65-34 against Protoss players. Stats has a 48.1% win rate across the last 54 games and an abysmal 36.84% win rate in PvT games.
Stats is never to be underestimated, but at the offered StarCraft II betting odds, we have to side with Cure to sweep Stats for the seventh time this year.
BUNNY vs NIGHTMARE SCII BETTING & MATCH DETAIL |
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Best Odds: | Bunny -333.33 at BetOnline | NightMare +240 at BetOnline |
When: | October 12, 2023 |19:15 KST |
Watch Live: | YouTube, AfreecaTV |
Lee “Bunny” Jae-seon is priced as a -333.33 favourite to defeat Jang “NightMare” Wook, which sounds fair considering Bunny is 3-0 against NightMare across their last three meetings. However, the two Korean SCII pros have not met once since November 2022, so that number doesn’t mean much.
NightMare’s best tournament placement was ninth–12th at the 2023 Global StarCraft II League Season 2: Code S, which isn’t too inspiring. However, Bunny hasn’t looked much better recently. He made the semifinals in GSL Season 1 Code S but then added two 13th–16th-place finishes at GSL Season 2 and ESL Summer.
The only thing going in Bunny’s favour is his strong record against Protoss players (57.14%), but even that is only slightly better than NightMare’s PvT record (55.71%). Bunny should be favoured, but not by that much. Value is with NightMare.
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CURE vs BYUN SCII BETTING & MATCH DETAIL |
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Best Odds: | Cure +175 at BetOnline | ByuN -250 at BetOnline |
When: | December 10, 2022 |16:00 KST |
Watch Live: | Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/alphaxsc2) |
Kim “Cure” Doh-wook has met with Byun “ByuN” Hyun-woo 26 times in 2022, most recently during ESL Open Cup #151 Korea at the end of November, when Byun won 2-1. It marked ByuN’s 14th head-to-head victory of the year and his fourth consecutive.
Over that stretch, ByuN has managed just one clean sweep (0-2), with two series ending with just one map separating the two StarCraft II pro players. So considering ByuN’s recent success against Cure, the offered SCII betting odds make a lot of sense.
ByuN is in excellent form and holds a 72.04% win rate in mirrored matchups, whereas Cure’s TvT record over the last 65 outings stands at just 47.69%. Cure is still an excellent player who should do some damage on Saturday, but this is Byun’s game to lose.
ByuN to win 3-0 pays at $4.00, which is a fair price and a solid longshot bet.
CURE vs CLASSIC SCII BETTING & MATCH DETAIL |
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Best Odds: | Cure -500 at BetOnline | Classic +333 at BetOnline |
When: | December 10, 2022 |17:15 KST |
Watch Live: | Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/alphaxsc2) |
Kim “Classic” Doh-woo enters this match as a massive underdog ($4.33), which isn’t too shocking, considering Kim “Cure” Doh-wook is 4-0 up in the head-to-head (10-3 in maps) on the year. Moreover, Cure is 15-5 against Classic since the two first met in 2014 but has not lost a single series since 2018.
The four-year-long streak of dominance Cure has been enjoying is quite impressive, as is his map win rate (67.55%) against his compatriot. So while you could argue that Classic is good enough to compete against any SCII player, Cure is his kryptonite.
If Cure’s last games against Classic are any indication, there’s a very good chance we’ll see another clean sweep, and $3.00 is a very generous offer on the outcome.
DRG vs BYUN SCII BETTING & MATCH DETAIL |
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Best Odds: | DRG +137 at BetOnline | ByuN -188.68 at BetOnline |
When: | December 10, 2022 |17:15 KST |
Watch Live: | Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/alphaxsc2) |
Park “DRG” Soo-ho and Byun “ByuN” Hyun-woo last met at the start of November, during PiG Sty Festival 2.0, when ByuN won 2-0. It marked his fifth (5-2) head-to-head victory of the year and 22nd (22-13) since the two first clashed in 2012.
And yet, despite holding an impressive h2h record against DRG, ByuN enters this match priced at -188.68, which seems a bit too generous. Although DRG won (2-1) this affair in September, it was only his first victory since March. Over that stretch, ByuN has won 11 maps to DRG’s five and has swept DRG in two of their last three meetings.
Beyond that, DRG’s recent win rate into Terran players over the last 28 outings is at just 50%. In contrast, ByuN is 86-29 (74.78%) against Zergs over the last 115.
It’s entirely possible that ByuN wins with a 3-0 sweep, but we’ll play it safe and pick the 29-year-old with a -1.5 map handicap.
DRG vs CURE SCII BETTING & MATCH DETAIL |
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Best Odds: | DRG -400 at BetOnline | Cure+275 at BetOnline |
When: | December 10, 2022 |18:15 KST |
Watch Live: | Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/alphaxsc2) |
The final round of Brawler’s Club #37 group stage will see Park “DRG” Soo-ho face off against Kim “Cure” Doh-wook for the eighth time in 2022 and the first time since November when DRG won 3-1. It marked DRG’s second consecutive victory and his third of the year.
Cure is still up (4-3) in the head-to-head this year, but he has managed to beat DRG just once since May (3-0 during Brawler’s Club #32), so it’s fair to view DRG as the favourite. But this is still a 50/50 bout in our book, mainly because the last two head-to-head matches were pretty close.
Even the players’ win rates into the opponent’s race are close to even (49.32% – 50%), so there are a couple of reasons why $1.25 on DRG is a bit too low. A bet on Cure to win at $3.75 is hard to ignore, as it offers excellent value.
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